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Assuming an annual hemorrhage rate of 2-4% and an average life expectancy of 70 years, the cumulative arteriovenous malformation rupture risk can be calculated with this simple formula.
References
Kondziolka D, Mclaughlin MR, Kestle JR. Simple risk predictions for arteriovenous malformation hemorrhage. Neurosurgery 1995; 37:851-855.
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Brown RD, Jr. Simple risk predictions for arteriovenous malformation hemorrhage. Letter. Neurosurgery 2000;46:1024.
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